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A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica, Grand Cayman, Little Cayman & Cayman Brac, and the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico from Puerto Costa Maya to Cancun, including Cozumel…
…Interests elsewhere in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the western Gulf of Mexico, including southern Texas, should closely monitor the progress of Beryl…
…At 200am EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located by Grand Cayman near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 80.1 West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h).
A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next day or two, taking the core of Beryl just south of the Cayman Islands overnight and over the Yucatan Peninsula early Friday.
Beryl is expected to emerge over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico Friday night and turn northwestward.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts.
Beryl is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some weakening is forecast during the next day or two, however, Beryl is forecast to be at or near major hurricane intensity while it passes by the Cayman Islands.
Additional weakening is expected thereafter, though Beryl is forecast to remain a hurricane until it makes landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)…
Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the Cayman Islands within the next several hours, with tropical storm conditions starting soon.
Hurricane conditions are diminishing across Jamaica.
Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area on the Yucatan Peninsula late today or early Friday morning. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength later today, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area along the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula as early as late today…
…Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 2-4 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of the Cayman Islands.
Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 4-6 feet above ground level in areas of onshore winds along the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula within the hurricane warning area and by as much as 1-3 feet above ground level along the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula in the tropical storm warning area.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Storm surge should be gradually subsiding in Jamaica.
Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4-8 inches with localized amounts of 12 inches across Jamaica through this morning. This heavy rainfall is expected to cause life- threatening flash flooding and mudslides.
Beryl is also expected to bring rainfall totals of 4-6 inches over the Cayman Islands through today. Over the Yucatan Peninsula into northern Belize, Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4-6 inches with localized amounts of 8 inches late today through Friday. Scattered instances of flash flooding are anticipated…
…Large swells generated by Beryl are currently impacting portions of the coast of Jamaica, Cuba, and the Cayman Islands. These swells are expected to spread to the Yucatan Peninsula and portions of Central America later today and to eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. by late Friday…
(For information about operations in the Caribbean and Americas, contact the GAC Hub Agency enter at [email protected])
Source: Extracts from National Hurricane Center, Miami Fl, Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 22A issued at 200am EDT on 4 July 2024